"Destroying Civilization" or Building an Empire? How Presidential Threats and Failed Policies Have Ironically Created a New Iranian Empire.

How the broken Covenant between the Arab crowns and their people paved the way for the return of the Iranian hour.

The Middle East is currently confronting its most significant military and political challenges since the 1970s. The world is witnessing the synchronized collapse of the trinity of stability, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Bahrain, and the strategic framework that has kept American power intact in the region for decades. By prioritizing Western security over the needs of their own people, these three monarchs have effectively renounced their traditional mandates, signaling the emergence of a new Asiatic-Islamic reality.

​To understand why and how this situation arose, it is essential to examine the cultural and religious framework that has shaped Arab society. For centuries, the stability of a monarchy relied on a specific covenant between the king and the two pillars that defined an Arab society: the tribes and the clergy. In exchange for providing military protection, economic prosperity, and sociopolitical stability, the two offered the king their loyalty and the religious endorsement necessary for his rule.

Today, both the tribes and the clergy feel the crown has broken this ancient Covenant. By prioritizing foreign agendas over the protection of their own lands, the monarchs have effectively renounced their traditional mandate. This, in turn, has led to a remarkable political shift where the tribes, once the state’s protectorates, have now become the “eyes and ears” of Iran.

​In Jordan, for example, the bedrock Bani Hassan and Howeitat tribes, the traditional backbone of the Hashemite military, have moved beyond rhetoric into a total physical blockade. They have effectively landlocked the country by cutting off the northern and southern borders so that nothing is going in and nothing is coming out.

More critically, they are now serving as the “eyes and ears” of Iran, providing the real-time human intelligence (HUMINT) that allows precision strikes to hit Western radar sites with devastating accuracy. By providing these coordinates, the tribes have signaled that they no longer view King Abdullah as a legitimate protector. They demand a restoration of tribal sovereignty either through Prince Hamza, the king’s half-brother, or Prince Hassan, the King’s uncle and former long-time heir, and a return to a traditional government that answers to the desert rather than Washington.

A similar collapse is occurring in Saudi Arabia. As the royal palace prioritizes a failing Western “Iron Umbrella,” the tribes have withdrawn their support. Led by the Howeitat, a coalition of tribes stretching from the northern borders to the center of the country has moved beyond local grievances to effectively cut off the land bridge to Jordan. This unified front has paralyzed the region’s logistics, ensuring that no strategic assets or supplies can move across the desert.

More importantly, they are now serving as the ‘eyes and ears’ of Iran. They have provided the coordinates necessary for the destruction of high-value assets, including the E-3 Sentry AWACS and KC-135 tanker fleets in the Eastern province. They are not doing this, however, because they are pro-Iran, but because they recognize that a new Asiatic order is inevitable and the Western-backed House of Saud can no longer fulfill the Covenant.

In Bahrain, the situation is even more volatile due to its demographic makeup. Made up of 70% Shiites that are being ruled by a 30% Sunni crown, the local population has become the “eyes and ears” on the ground. They provide constant surveillance and, in most instances, encircle the bases, effectively turning the base into a fishbowl.

​In the case of the second pillar, the clergy, the leadership faces similar abandonment. The clerics, particularly in Saudi Arabia and Jordan, have concluded that a ruler who cannot provide military sovereignty has no claim to the title “Protector of the Faith.”

The “Friday of Silence” on April 3, 2026, in Saudi Arabia was the definitive theological no-confidence vote. Across the region, imams pointedly omitted the rulers’ names from Friday prayers. When the Royal Guard moved to arrest these clerics, they only confirmed the belief that the Palace is now an occupying force. For the tribes and the clerics, if the King cannot keep the “rain” of conflict out of the mosques, he has lost his mandate.

​This internal collapse has had a devastating impact on the U.S. strategy and its ability to continue the war. By blocking the roads and the borders, becoming the eyes and the ears of Iran, and not allowing the National Armies to fire on their own kin, the tribes and the clergy have made it clear that the U.S. demands to operate within their territory is no longer accepted or allowed.

​For the U.S., this means that it cannot sustain a war of attrition when its primary proxies have lost their internal foundations. By losing the tribes and the clerics, the U.S. has seen its logistics landlocked, its supply lines severed, and its multi-billion-dollar military, including the destruction of 50% of its THAAD systems in the region, succumb to Iranian attacks.

​​​Today, what the world is witnessing is the fall of the modern American Arab world. In many ways, this transition mirrors the 8^th-century Abbasid dynasty, which ended the corrupt monopoly of the Umayyad dynasty and shifted the center of gravity from the Arab to the Iranian.

For the trinity, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan, all is lost. They find themselves in an unwinnable situation where they must choose between a U.S. leadership that has desecrated their faith or be swept away by a population that has already abandoned them.

The Covenant is broken, and the Abbasid-Iranian hour has returned.