As heavy munitions and defensive batteries pour into Prince Sultan Air Base, a collapsed tribal covenant and a precarious "airbridge" suggest a deeper, contrary operation is underway.
I personally think they’re toast in the gulf, they’re out by hook or by crook, it’s only a matter of time. I read the pentagon estimates 10-12 billion USD to rebuild those bases and about 5-7 years to do so.
Many critics of Israel and its military strategy argue that the continuing conflict with Iran has become increasingly dangerous because of unwavering military backing from the United States. Opponents of American policy claim that billions in weapons, missile systems, intelligence cooperation, and diplomatic protection have allowed Israel to pursue increasingly aggressive regional actions without facing meaningful international pressure to de-escalate.
Opponents point to mounting civilian casualties, regional instability, and the widening risk of a broader Middle East war as evidence that endless military support is not producing peace, but prolonging confrontation. Some analysts have also warned that the scale of U.S. military involvement and missile defence support for Israel has strained American resources and increased fears of a much larger regional conflict.
Opponents of continued U.S. aid argue that Washington’s close alignment with Israel damages America’s credibility when speaking about human rights, international law, or democracy abroad. They believe the conflict increasingly resembles a cycle where overwhelming military force is repeatedly prioritised over diplomacy, ceasefires, or long-term political solutions.
Critics also argue that ordinary Americans are being drawn into costly geopolitical struggles through military spending, economic disruption, and rising instability in global energy markets. At the same time, political leaders continue defending policies that large parts of the international community oppose. Recent polling and political backlash suggest growing unease in several Western countries about deeper involvement in the Iran-Israel confrontation, particularly as fears rise over escalation, regional collapse, and the possibility of wider war.
It has nothing to do with being wise per se, but rather the system.
MBS very much like king abdellah of jordan attempted to eliminate the power of the tribes by implementing western systems in the economic and political system
But what they both failed to realize is that their nation was built on tribes. So when, for example, they attempted to give the utility and the water resources under the auspice of European or American. Or even asian corporations, they forgot that the mid level and the low level are completely run and controlled by tribes and go through the tribal territory in many instances.
That is why, in both of those nations, electricity, water and even garbage collection is significantly reduced, depending on the region.
If you want further information, read my previous articles or look at my previous videos.
By the way, thank you so much for your response and subscribing😊
Mitra, did the gulf states not foresee the now obvious fragility of their security strategies? And how did they and the US so severely underestimate the resilience of Iranian structures? Did Israel miscalculate as well, or is this collapse in alliances work in Netanyahu’s favour?
I realize you have much more knowledge than me on these topics, but I find hard to accept ever increasingly powerful countries underestimating things or making such type of mistakes. Apparently, the more underestimations and mistakes the US makes, the more hegemonic it becomes, weapons and gas/oil it sells. What if "defeating" Iran isn't this war's goal - or not yet? What if a prolonged war in the Persian Gulf isn't the outcome of any sort of mistake? Would you say this conspiratorial scenario of mine is plausible?
First of all, thank you so much for responding and reading my article.
I absolutely appreciated.
Second, I'm sure you know things that I have no clue about. Therefore dont ever assume you know less. It is that I look at sources, that's generally overlooked by the western traditional press and think-tanks.
Third, the reality is the united states is in this situation not because of what has happened in the past two months, but rather, in the past 25 years.
This war did not happen overnight. The the United States's fall began when with the invasion of Iraq, when he borrowed money to fight a war because of Israel.
The downfall, economically and more importantly politically, continued with failed coups in libya, syria, and ukraine and ended with the attack on Iran.
The Iranians and their allies, Russia and China, were fully aware of what was going on and that is why, 5 years ago, the implemented a plan to trap the US in a war of attrition, where it's only option would be to remain and go bankrupt or admit a loss and leave but survive economically.
I hope I answer that and thank you once again for subscribing and giving me your input😊
First of all, you do not look at AI for such information.Because it is designed to rely largely on western systems or traditional news that they can verify.
Second, you have to know saudi arabia's economic, political and military structure, the tribes and their instructure and system that has created Saudi Arabia, and the intertwined relationship between the tribes and the nation in every level.
Something that the AI does not address or necessary asked especially after questions, are not asked properly.
Third, if you want to know what's going on, among others, you also have to read and be aware of Asiatic, African and Global South press and intelligence systems as well as tribal communication centers.
This is why, btw, within 2 weeks of the war,I clearly explained why the war was already lost.
If you want more information, please read my previous work or watch my previous videos.
All of these said, I want to thank you so much for reading my article, giving me your opinion and subscribing😊
Before jumping to conclusions... AI is only as 'smart' as it has data... the tribes Mitra describes are likely outside the purview of most US based (hence trained) AI.
The human review by a emic (in-culture) expert, like Mitra, to me, is worthy of greater merit than algorithms developed by non-cultural, relatively unfamiliar data handlers... IMHO :)
Oh wow. That means that the war has destabilized Saudi Arabia internally as well as the larger Gulf States Cooperation Council. The tribes are asserting what power they have within their borders. Will the Saudi King remove Prince MBS for another prince? Meanwhile, will the US will abandon the ruins of its bases in Gulf States bc it is too costly to rebuild? And with public sentiment so strong against the Netanyahu government and its imperialist Greater Israel policies, why would we concentrate our military resources there? Surely we won’t persist in this theocratic, protectionist policy of bringing about The Second Coming.
I personally think they’re toast in the gulf, they’re out by hook or by crook, it’s only a matter of time. I read the pentagon estimates 10-12 billion USD to rebuild those bases and about 5-7 years to do so.
First of all, thank you for your comment and your subscribing.
Second, you are correct about the Gulf nations and the cost of rebuilding, which is, by the way, significantly higher than twelve billion
Many critics of Israel and its military strategy argue that the continuing conflict with Iran has become increasingly dangerous because of unwavering military backing from the United States. Opponents of American policy claim that billions in weapons, missile systems, intelligence cooperation, and diplomatic protection have allowed Israel to pursue increasingly aggressive regional actions without facing meaningful international pressure to de-escalate.
Opponents point to mounting civilian casualties, regional instability, and the widening risk of a broader Middle East war as evidence that endless military support is not producing peace, but prolonging confrontation. Some analysts have also warned that the scale of U.S. military involvement and missile defence support for Israel has strained American resources and increased fears of a much larger regional conflict.
Opponents of continued U.S. aid argue that Washington’s close alignment with Israel damages America’s credibility when speaking about human rights, international law, or democracy abroad. They believe the conflict increasingly resembles a cycle where overwhelming military force is repeatedly prioritised over diplomacy, ceasefires, or long-term political solutions.
Critics also argue that ordinary Americans are being drawn into costly geopolitical struggles through military spending, economic disruption, and rising instability in global energy markets. At the same time, political leaders continue defending policies that large parts of the international community oppose. Recent polling and political backlash suggest growing unease in several Western countries about deeper involvement in the Iran-Israel confrontation, particularly as fears rise over escalation, regional collapse, and the possibility of wider war.
I love this Substack so much, but I’m always so much hungrier for more on what you write about. Would you be able to post a recommended reading list ?
Thank you very much for your comments but it is not just one thing.😊
I do however recommend going also outside the traditional Western media
Thanks!
try Al Mayadeen (Libanese; in English) - https://english.almayadeen.net/
or Palestine Chronicle - https://www.palestinechronicle.com/category/articles/
or Middle East Eye - https://www.middleeasteye.net/
A CHANGED POLITICAL BASE IN THE MIDEAST IS A HARBINGER FOR NEW ALLIANCES AND RETREAT FROM OLD FRIENSHIPS...
I BELIEVE THE FUTURE FOR THE REGION REST ON THE MOVEMENT AWAY FROM DESERT RELATIONSHIPS... LOOKING WEST
Interesting. I thought MBL called all the shots. Apparently, not so. Maybe the tribal leaders are wiser than him.
It has nothing to do with being wise per se, but rather the system.
MBS very much like king abdellah of jordan attempted to eliminate the power of the tribes by implementing western systems in the economic and political system
But what they both failed to realize is that their nation was built on tribes. So when, for example, they attempted to give the utility and the water resources under the auspice of European or American. Or even asian corporations, they forgot that the mid level and the low level are completely run and controlled by tribes and go through the tribal territory in many instances.
That is why, in both of those nations, electricity, water and even garbage collection is significantly reduced, depending on the region.
If you want further information, read my previous articles or look at my previous videos.
By the way, thank you so much for your response and subscribing😊
Mitra, did the gulf states not foresee the now obvious fragility of their security strategies? And how did they and the US so severely underestimate the resilience of Iranian structures? Did Israel miscalculate as well, or is this collapse in alliances work in Netanyahu’s favour?
Yes Both Israel and the US highly underestimated Iran and its allies.
BTW, thank you for reading the article and subscribing 😊
I realize you have much more knowledge than me on these topics, but I find hard to accept ever increasingly powerful countries underestimating things or making such type of mistakes. Apparently, the more underestimations and mistakes the US makes, the more hegemonic it becomes, weapons and gas/oil it sells. What if "defeating" Iran isn't this war's goal - or not yet? What if a prolonged war in the Persian Gulf isn't the outcome of any sort of mistake? Would you say this conspiratorial scenario of mine is plausible?
First of all, thank you so much for responding and reading my article.
I absolutely appreciated.
Second, I'm sure you know things that I have no clue about. Therefore dont ever assume you know less. It is that I look at sources, that's generally overlooked by the western traditional press and think-tanks.
Third, the reality is the united states is in this situation not because of what has happened in the past two months, but rather, in the past 25 years.
This war did not happen overnight. The the United States's fall began when with the invasion of Iraq, when he borrowed money to fight a war because of Israel.
The downfall, economically and more importantly politically, continued with failed coups in libya, syria, and ukraine and ended with the attack on Iran.
The Iranians and their allies, Russia and China, were fully aware of what was going on and that is why, 5 years ago, the implemented a plan to trap the US in a war of attrition, where it's only option would be to remain and go bankrupt or admit a loss and leave but survive economically.
I hope I answer that and thank you once again for subscribing and giving me your input😊
Thank you for taking the time to reply!
My pleasure. I can't respond all the time, but when I can, I will😊
Thank you for informing us Mitra.
Thank you for reading my articles and subscribing 😊
Thanks for this interesting post, its all stuff i heavent read elsewhere. Hadnt realised things were unravelling so quickly there.
I asked several AI tools to fact check your story teacher tribes. They all said no evidence.
Oh dear.
First of all, you do not look at AI for such information.Because it is designed to rely largely on western systems or traditional news that they can verify.
Second, you have to know saudi arabia's economic, political and military structure, the tribes and their instructure and system that has created Saudi Arabia, and the intertwined relationship between the tribes and the nation in every level.
Something that the AI does not address or necessary asked especially after questions, are not asked properly.
Third, if you want to know what's going on, among others, you also have to read and be aware of Asiatic, African and Global South press and intelligence systems as well as tribal communication centers.
This is why, btw, within 2 weeks of the war,I clearly explained why the war was already lost.
If you want more information, please read my previous work or watch my previous videos.
All of these said, I want to thank you so much for reading my article, giving me your opinion and subscribing😊
Before jumping to conclusions... AI is only as 'smart' as it has data... the tribes Mitra describes are likely outside the purview of most US based (hence trained) AI.
The human review by a emic (in-culture) expert, like Mitra, to me, is worthy of greater merit than algorithms developed by non-cultural, relatively unfamiliar data handlers... IMHO :)
LOL because.... of course. Ai is and will always be heavily biased.
…whatever they “plan” it’s going to be a fucking disaster
Thank you for your expertise
Thank you for reading the article and subscribing 😊
Oh wow. That means that the war has destabilized Saudi Arabia internally as well as the larger Gulf States Cooperation Council. The tribes are asserting what power they have within their borders. Will the Saudi King remove Prince MBS for another prince? Meanwhile, will the US will abandon the ruins of its bases in Gulf States bc it is too costly to rebuild? And with public sentiment so strong against the Netanyahu government and its imperialist Greater Israel policies, why would we concentrate our military resources there? Surely we won’t persist in this theocratic, protectionist policy of bringing about The Second Coming.
Sure these gulf countries want to go back to riding camels and living in tents
Well.... my hope then is that Iran will concentrate any response on Israel and not on the GCC nations.
Of course, that leaves the problem of the Brooklyn Jews.
Orlov suggested that Russian Jews who might want to return from Israel be executed as traitors to Russia.
After decades of Palestinian genocide maybe the Brooklyn Jews deserve the same consideration.
Or they can go to Argentina.
Let us not forget that 40% of American Billionaires are Jews and that Meyer Lansky's Jewish Mob made that possible.
I'm not trying to excuse the other 60%.